terça-feira, 15 de setembro de 2015

German Asylum Benefits are better than working hard in Eritrea

People that receive Asylum in Germany receive 360 euros per month per adult + free housing + half as much for children + free food. All of that for doing the whole day nothing. They can use the spare time to get even more income either legally or illegally. That's *a lot* more than billions receive from doing hard work all month, 6 days a week. So there is a huge attraction potential for this. Here I want to calculate how many people would be attracted by these Asylum benefits.

That they are not really refugees in any sense doesn't matter. In the post-modern insane liberalism people are being let into Europa without any checks just by looking desperate. This is a Theater. Merkel is saying between the lines: "Just look desperate, let the journalists take some pictures of you looking like an underdog, and we will let you in. After you are in you get money and can rape and murder here and will not be deported". A few thousand die in the waters and its a scandal, but people forget that 100.000 europeans die every year in road accidents, but noone cares. These people are much more innocent than young man that on purpose put themselves in a dangerous boat.

Anyway here are my calculations:



Average Population Population Population Atraction

Income 2000 2010 2050 Potencial

US$ per year millions millions millions millions






Asylum Benefits are over 3 times the national income
For 33% of the current population asylum would be highly desirable
The population of those countries will double till 2050 even if lots and lots of them emigrate






Somalia 600 7 9 18 3
Central African Republic 600 3,7 4,4 8,8 1
Congo, Dem. Rep. 700 49 66 132 22
Malawi 800 11 15 30 5
Burundi 900 6 8 16 3
Niger 1,000 10 15 30 5
Mozambique 1,100 18 23 46 8
Eritrea 1,200 3,7 5 10 2
Guinea 1,300 8 10 20 3
Ethiopia 1,500 66 83 166 27
Mali 1,600 11 15 30 5
Rwanda 1,700 8 10 20 3
Uganda 1,800 24 33 66 11
Tanzania 1,900 34 45 90 15






Total
259,4 341,4 682,8 113






Asylum Benefits are over 2 times the national income
For 25% of the current population asylum would be highly desirable
The population of those countries will increase by at least 50% till 2050 even if lots and lots of them emigrate






Afghanistan 2,000 ? 32 48 8
Zimbabwe 2,000 12,5 13 19,5 3
Côte d'Ivoire 2,900 16 20 30 5
Cameroon 3,000 19 22 33 6
Kenya 3,100 31 41 61,5 10
Bangladesh 3,400 130 150 225 38
Zambia 4,100 10 13 19,5 3
Ghana 4,200 ? 27 40,5 7
Sudan 4,500 ? 40 60 10
Pakistan 4,700 140 180 270 45






Total
358,5 538 807 135






Asylum Benefits are lower than the national income, but many people earn a lot less than the benefits
For 10% of the current population asylum would be highly desirable






Nigeria
125 180 270 18
India
? 1300 1600 130






Total of all countries listed

2359,4 3359,8 396

Conclusion

The German Asylum benefits are attractive for 400 million people today, and by 2050 it will be attractive to another 600 million people.

PS:

I'm not saying that they are only attracted by the benefits, since many would be attracted even without that. Doing black market work or crime in Germany would still generate a lot more income than hard work in the Congo even without any Asylum benefits, but the benefits generate an extra attraction. Without it the attraction power would be half as much one can guess.

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